Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 10.112809 11.684346 13.367474 15.298305 17.445960 19.755354 22.420210
2025-06-08 7.882930 9.884181 12.163847 14.932915 18.184516 21.860341 26.307596
2025-06-15 6.598300 8.865550 11.584161 15.043002 19.282285 24.263270 30.509085
2025-06-22 5.555169 7.950875 10.959478 14.946813 20.017835 26.174071 34.126993
2025-06-29 4.853481 7.353439 10.624769 15.117398 21.014681 28.373847 38.118901
2025-07-06 4.293022 6.859384 10.347516 15.294981 21.975197 30.515751 42.071047
2025-07-13 3.919559 6.571216 10.299797 15.740740 23.269490 33.096918 46.638274
2025-07-20 3.558162 6.251634 10.165176 16.032375 24.339771 35.394690 50.885306
2025-07-27 3.165772 5.835424 9.845188 16.020849 24.965369 37.094043 54.367322
2025-08-03 2.676708 5.206227 9.147723 15.399378 24.677632 37.513456 56.109907
2025-08-10 2.345702 4.794003 8.738856 15.163150 24.906059 38.623644 58.796087
2025-08-17 2.036908 4.380475 8.287439 14.820659 24.943382 39.443654 61.078891
2025-08-24 1.793162 4.054805 7.952445 14.637861 25.209311 40.599997 63.877127
2025-08-31 1.548248 3.694076 7.524168 14.270046 25.162998 41.286487 66.009087
2025-09-07 1.407616 3.515752 7.391472 14.369693 25.833738 43.033234 69.700761
2025-09-14 1.254112 3.290584 7.154373 14.274186 26.182807 44.300474 72.714628
2025-09-21 1.152268 3.159363 7.074882 14.437410 26.944693 46.202520 76.700918
2025-09-28 1.061313 3.039322 7.004613 14.608063 27.718447 48.136694 80.773343
2025-10-05 1.008647 2.998302 7.080330 15.037559 28.929631 50.771290 85.950961
2025-10-12 0.943648 2.919902 7.075671 15.318649 29.898340 53.048594 90.632867
2025-10-19 0.854666 2.771213 6.917811 15.307492 30.367415 54.547706 94.154915
2025-10-26 0.721007 2.489006 6.460976 14.708318 29.798090 54.374743 95.090801
2025-11-02 0.634754 2.314018 6.210520 14.480611 29.856050 55.197171 97.575785